<![CDATA[The PredictIt Podcast]]>We're analyzing prediction markets on PredictIt every week - discussing the news, what's on the horizon, market dynamics and value in every opportunity. Hosted by Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem, two prediction market veterans and politics enthusiasts, we'll provide a non-partisan, strictly business perspective on PredictIt's available markets, contracts, prices and traders. Listen to the PredictIt Podcast for the best prediction market analysis available in podcast form!

]]>predictit.orgRiverside.fm (https://riverside.com)Mon, 13 Jul 2026 12:03:17 GMTMon, 10 Nov 2025 18:10:03 GMT60PredictIt<p>We're analyzing prediction markets on PredictIt every week - discussing the news, what's on the horizon, market dynamics and value in every opportunity. Hosted by Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem, two prediction market veterans and politics enthusiasts, we'll provide a non-partisan, strictly business perspective on PredictIt's available markets, contracts, prices and traders. Listen to the PredictIt Podcast for the best prediction market analysis available in podcast form!</p>episodicPredictItjacob.studwell@aristotle.comno<![CDATA[Platner Implodes and McConnell Vanishes]]>The Senate map just got scrambled in a single week. Graham Platner's Maine campaign implodes after a sexual assault allegation, and nearly every Democrat who backed him is now calling for him to step aside before the July 13 deadline. Jacob and Garth break down who replaces him (Troy Jackson? Janet Mills?) and whether Susan Collins is now the safest incumbent on the board.

Then: Michigan tightens dramatically after McMorrow drops out, with a fresh poll showing El-Sayed and Stevens nearly tied heading into the August 4 primary. Plus the Mitch McConnell health mystery and what a Kentucky opening could mean for control of the chamber, Ken Paxton spending July 4th in London, and why the World Cup turned into a political headache for Trump.

All the market reads inside: where PredictIt traders have Maine, Michigan, and Senate control right now.

Full episode also on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and iHeart.

Markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

#Senate2026 #Platner #PredictionMarkets

]]>1ff3d108-cfd1-4e94-a41e-222bbd367de1Wed, 08 Jul 2026 16:23:33 GMT<p>The Senate map just got scrambled in a single week. Graham Platner's Maine campaign implodes after a sexual assault allegation, and nearly every Democrat who backed him is now calling for him to step aside before the July 13 deadline. Jacob and Garth break down who replaces him (Troy Jackson? Janet Mills?) and whether Susan Collins is now the safest incumbent on the board.</p><p>Then: Michigan tightens dramatically after McMorrow drops out, with a fresh poll showing El-Sayed and Stevens nearly tied heading into the August 4 primary. Plus the Mitch McConnell health mystery and what a Kentucky opening could mean for control of the chamber, Ken Paxton spending July 4th in London, and why the World Cup turned into a political headache for Trump.</p><p>All the market reads inside: where PredictIt traders have Maine, Michigan, and Senate control right now.</p><p>Full episode also on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and iHeart.</p><p>Markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>#Senate2026 #Platner #PredictionMarkets</p>no00:32:14Platner Implodes and McConnell Vanishesfull<![CDATA[Which Senate Races Are the Polls Getting Wrong?]]>It's a full Senate polling roundup — every race that matters, poll by poll, checked against where PredictIt traders actually have the money.

Texas is a dead heat: Paxton and Talarico tied 47-47 in the NYT/Siena poll, with real signs of Paxton weakness under the surface. Maine tells a different story — Collins holds a steady edge while Platner's campaign gets buried under a staggering outside-money gap ($4.3M vs $440K in a five-day span). Michigan's Democratic primary is effectively over, with El-Sayed running away and traders having already called it. Plus, a Florida poll that traders think is flat-out fake, the generic ballot tightening toward Republicans, and why Jacob likes buying Republican on the Senate control market right now.

Then: Garth's case that the smartest Democratic play heading into August is to get out of the way and let Trump be Trump.

Chapters:

00:00 Colorado results and the anti-incumbent wave

06:30 SCOTUS: Alito retirement watch + FECA caps overturned

15:40 Texas Senate: Paxton vs. Talarico (dead heat)

22:45 Maine: Collins vs. Platner and the money bomb

30:20 Michigan: El-Sayed, Stevens, McMorrow

35:00 Generic ballot + the Senate control market read

Full episode also on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and iHeart.

Markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

#Senate2026 #Polling #PredictionMarkets

]]>45bd581e-70e4-478f-b6ab-a0a546735ba1Wed, 01 Jul 2026 20:24:12 GMT<p>It's a full Senate polling roundup — every race that matters, poll by poll, checked against where PredictIt traders actually have the money.</p><p>Texas is a dead heat: Paxton and Talarico tied 47-47 in the NYT/Siena poll, with real signs of Paxton weakness under the surface. Maine tells a different story — Collins holds a steady edge while Platner's campaign gets buried under a staggering outside-money gap ($4.3M vs $440K in a five-day span). Michigan's Democratic primary is effectively over, with El-Sayed running away and traders having already called it. Plus, a Florida poll that traders think is flat-out fake, the generic ballot tightening toward Republicans, and why Jacob likes buying Republican on the Senate control market right now.</p><p>Then: Garth's case that the smartest Democratic play heading into August is to get out of the way and let Trump be Trump.</p><p>Chapters:</p><p>00:00 Colorado results and the anti-incumbent wave</p><p>06:30 SCOTUS: Alito retirement watch + FECA caps overturned</p><p>15:40 Texas Senate: Paxton vs. Talarico (dead heat)</p><p>22:45 Maine: Collins vs. Platner and the money bomb</p><p>30:20 Michigan: El-Sayed, Stevens, McMorrow</p><p>35:00 Generic ballot + the Senate control market read</p><p>Full episode also on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and iHeart.</p><p>Markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>#Senate2026 #Polling #PredictionMarkets</p>no00:35:10Which Senate Races Are the Polls Getting Wrong?full<![CDATA[Mamdani Sweeps New York]]>Mamdani went 3-for-3 last night — sweeping all three New York City congressional primaries and ousting two incumbents, including Hakeem Jeffries-backed Adriano Espaillat in NY-13. Brad Lander flattened Dan Goldman in NY-10. Claire Valdez dominated Antonio Reynoso in NY-7. The left now has a kingmaker. But the real result nobody is covering: Cait Conley in NY-17 — the West Point grad, former NSC counterterrorism director, and MIT/Harvard alum who just became the Democrats' best shot at flipping a swing seat in November.

In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

00:00 — Mamdani sweeps NYC: Brad Lander, Claire Valdez, and Darializa Avila Chevalier all win

08:00 — NY-17: Cait Conley wins — Democrats at 87¢ to flip Mike Lawler's seat

12:00 — NY-12: Micah Lasher beats Alex Bores, Schlossberg hits 11%, Conway at 6%

16:00 — The Iran deal is in the garbage — and we called Israel as the wildcard last week

20:00 — War powers resolution passes the Senate: three months too late, but fine

23:00 — Housing bill passes bipartisan — Byron Donalds' "no" vote and what it signals for his Florida governor race

26:00 — MTG and Tucker Carlson leave the GOP: welcome to the political wilderness

28:00 — Trump approval at 40% — does America 250 paper over the cracks?

32:00 — The Reflecting Pool disaster: algae, a $14M contractor, and government waste

36:00 — July calendar: jobs report, CPI, Fed rate decision, and the World Cup wild card

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics.

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

#PredictionMarkets #Mamdani #NewYorkPrimary2026

]]>2db20c6b-276c-4eaa-9333-ae4b45ff548cWed, 24 Jun 2026 20:34:31 GMT<p>Mamdani went 3-for-3 last night — sweeping all three New York City congressional primaries and ousting two incumbents, including Hakeem Jeffries-backed Adriano Espaillat in NY-13. Brad Lander flattened Dan Goldman in NY-10. Claire Valdez dominated Antonio Reynoso in NY-7. The left now has a kingmaker. But the real result nobody is covering: Cait Conley in NY-17 — the West Point grad, former NSC counterterrorism director, and MIT/Harvard alum who just became the Democrats' best shot at flipping a swing seat in November.</p><p>In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:</p><p>00:00 — Mamdani sweeps NYC: Brad Lander, Claire Valdez, and Darializa Avila Chevalier all win</p><p>08:00 — NY-17: Cait Conley wins — Democrats at 87¢ to flip Mike Lawler's seat</p><p>12:00 — NY-12: Micah Lasher beats Alex Bores, Schlossberg hits 11%, Conway at 6%</p><p>16:00 — The Iran deal is in the garbage — and we called Israel as the wildcard last week</p><p>20:00 — War powers resolution passes the Senate: three months too late, but fine</p><p>23:00 — Housing bill passes bipartisan — Byron Donalds' "no" vote and what it signals for his Florida governor race</p><p>26:00 — MTG and Tucker Carlson leave the GOP: welcome to the political wilderness</p><p>28:00 — Trump approval at 40% — does America 250 paper over the cracks?</p><p>32:00 — The Reflecting Pool disaster: algae, a $14M contractor, and government waste</p><p>36:00 — July calendar: jobs report, CPI, Fed rate decision, and the World Cup wild card</p><p>Trade these markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics.</p><p>Subscribe: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial" target="_blank">https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial</a></p><p>X: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PredictItPod" target="_blank">https://x.com/PredictItPod</a></p><p>#PredictionMarkets #Mamdani #NewYorkPrimary2026</p>no00:38:12Mamdani Sweeps New Yorkfull<![CDATA[Iran Deal Done. Gas Prices Down. Is the GOP Back?]]>For the first time since Venezuela, Republicans have real momentum — and it came from three places at once: an Iran deal signed in Geneva, gas prices falling week over week, and UFC 250 entering through the Oval Office. Democrats are still at 71¢ to take the House, but the environment is tightening.

In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

00:00 — Knicks win, Trump's off the hook? The White House visit debate

04:30 — Herschel Walker, Bahamas safety alerts, and jet ski diplomacy

07:00 — Georgia runoff results: Ossoff cruises to 88¢, governor race hits 52-49

10:00 — UFC at the White House: effective propaganda or birthday party?

13:00 — Iran deal: what we know, what Bloomberg leaked, and why it's still a win regardless

17:00 — Gas prices down three weeks straight — Trump claims victory he may have earned

19:00 — Trump's approval bounces, generic ballot narrows: what prediction markets say

21:00 — NY-12: Lasher 63¢, Boris 34¢, the establishment machine takes over

25:00 — Brad Lander at 97¢, NY-7 Valdez vs. Reynoso — Jacob likes Reynoso at 49¢

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics.

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

#PredictionMarkets #IranDeal #2026Midterms

]]>de0d556c-3d72-4d2b-9d62-dfeebff5a620Wed, 17 Jun 2026 17:42:44 GMT<p>For the first time since Venezuela, Republicans have real momentum — and it came from three places at once: an Iran deal signed in Geneva, gas prices falling week over week, and UFC 250 entering through the Oval Office. Democrats are still at 71¢ to take the House, but the environment is tightening.</p><p>In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:</p><p>00:00 — Knicks win, Trump's off the hook? The White House visit debate</p><p>04:30 — Herschel Walker, Bahamas safety alerts, and jet ski diplomacy</p><p>07:00 — Georgia runoff results: Ossoff cruises to 88¢, governor race hits 52-49</p><p>10:00 — UFC at the White House: effective propaganda or birthday party?</p><p>13:00 — Iran deal: what we know, what Bloomberg leaked, and why it's still a win regardless</p><p>17:00 — Gas prices down three weeks straight — Trump claims victory he may have earned</p><p>19:00 — Trump's approval bounces, generic ballot narrows: what prediction markets say</p><p>21:00 — NY-12: Lasher 63¢, Boris 34¢, the establishment machine takes over</p><p>25:00 — Brad Lander at 97¢, NY-7 Valdez vs. Reynoso — Jacob likes Reynoso at 49¢</p><p>Trade these markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics.</p><p>Subscribe: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial" target="_blank">https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial</a></p><p>X: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PredictItPod" target="_blank">https://x.com/PredictItPod</a></p><p>#PredictionMarkets #IranDeal #2026Midterms</p>no00:23:54Iran Deal Done. Gas Prices Down. Is the GOP Back?full<![CDATA[Is Graham Platner Underpriced to Beat Collins in Maine?]]>Graham Platner won the Maine Democratic primary last night with 77% of the vote — Is the Market Overreacting to the Platner Scandal? We broke down the thesis weeks ago: scandals with diminishing returns, outsider energy in a fighter's environment, and a Democratic electorate ready to act like toddlers when told who not to vote for. Democrats are now at 59¢ to beat Susan Collins in November.

In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

00:00 — Trump at MSG: the booing, the suit, and what it tells you about the secret New Yorker

06:00 — California's two-week vote count: sus, legal, and a structural problem only one state has

10:00 — Maine Senate: Platner wins, thesis confirmed, Collins vs. the oyster farmer is on

18:00 — Why scandals with diminishing returns make Platner the Democrats' Trump

22:00 — Iran: Trump says "deal is close" 38 times, then fires again — and the market for that quote

25:00 — Inflation up most since April 2023: what it does to the Senate market at 64¢ for Republicans

27:00 — Texas Senate AI ad, Talarico shifts on trans surgery, Tarico vs. Cornyn tightening

29:00 — House market breakdown: Dems at 71¢, Senate at 40¢, or take the combo at 36¢?

31:00 — LA mayor runoff: Bass wins easy, Ramen too progressive even for LA, Spencer Pratt voters stay home

34:00 — World Cup picks: Jacob takes South Korea, Garth has a team in every group

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics.

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

#PredictionMarkets #GrahamPlatner #Maine2026

]]>c1983055-db43-4698-b38e-5d8dafc4146eWed, 10 Jun 2026 17:51:25 GMT<p>Graham Platner won the Maine Democratic primary last night with 77% of the vote — <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://substack.com/home/post/p-200529495" target="_blank">Is the Market Overreacting to the Platner Scandal?</a> We broke down the thesis weeks ago: scandals with diminishing returns, outsider energy in a fighter's environment, and a Democratic electorate ready to act like toddlers when told who not to vote for. Democrats are now at 59¢ to beat Susan Collins in November.</p><p>In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:</p><p>00:00 — Trump at MSG: the booing, the suit, and what it tells you about the secret New Yorker</p><p>06:00 — California's two-week vote count: sus, legal, and a structural problem only one state has</p><p>10:00 — Maine Senate: Platner wins, thesis confirmed, Collins vs. the oyster farmer is on</p><p>18:00 — Why scandals with diminishing returns make Platner the Democrats' Trump</p><p>22:00 — Iran: Trump says "deal is close" 38 times, then fires again — and the market for that quote</p><p>25:00 — Inflation up most since April 2023: what it does to the Senate market at 64¢ for Republicans</p><p>27:00 — Texas Senate AI ad, Talarico shifts on trans surgery, Tarico vs. Cornyn tightening</p><p>29:00 — House market breakdown: Dems at 71¢, Senate at 40¢, or take the combo at 36¢?</p><p>31:00 — LA mayor runoff: Bass wins easy, Ramen too progressive even for LA, Spencer Pratt voters stay home</p><p>34:00 — World Cup picks: Jacob takes South Korea, Garth has a team in every group</p><p>Trade these markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics.</p><p>Subscribe: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial" target="_blank">https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial</a></p><p>X: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PredictItPod" target="_blank">https://x.com/PredictItPod</a></p><p>#PredictionMarkets #GrahamPlatner #Maine2026</p>no00:35:10Is Graham Platner Underpriced to Beat Collins in Maine?full<![CDATA[AI, Aliens, and the Age of Aquarius with Dr. Laurence Hillman (Part 2)]]>An astrologer's archetypal forecast for 2026... without making a single prediction. Dr. Laurence Hillman returns for Part 2 with his most provocative takes: AI acceleration, alien disclosure, the Leo-Aquarius tension defining our era, and why "expect the unexpected" isn't a joke right now:

00:00 — How archetypes shape entire electorates: post-war America vs. now

06:00 — The three archetypes America has lost: nurture, real dreamer, and sovereignty

11:00 — The Age of Aquarius: what the Leo-Aquarius tension means for politics

18:00 — Uranus in Gemini: why 2026 is particularly unpredictable

22:00 — AI, decentralization, and nervous system exhaustion

27:00 — Alien disclosure and the collective consciousness shift

32:00 — Discernment as the most important skill for 2026 and beyond

36:00 — "I wouldn't bet a cent on the future"

Watch Part 1: https://youtu.be/4pnS6H0dlc8?si=pjPTyOLyp67XEkzE

Trade 2026 political markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

#PredictionMarkets #AgeOfAquarius #Astrology2026

]]>8471455a-7b04-46ed-84aa-b823624cfe6cWed, 03 Jun 2026 16:11:17 GMT<p>An astrologer's archetypal forecast for 2026... without making a single prediction. Dr. Laurence Hillman returns for Part 2 with his most provocative takes: AI acceleration, alien disclosure, the Leo-Aquarius tension defining our era, and why "expect the unexpected" isn't a joke right now:</p><p>00:00 — How archetypes shape entire electorates: post-war America vs. now</p><p>06:00 — The three archetypes America has lost: nurture, real dreamer, and sovereignty</p><p>11:00 — The Age of Aquarius: what the Leo-Aquarius tension means for politics</p><p>18:00 — Uranus in Gemini: why 2026 is particularly unpredictable</p><p>22:00 — AI, decentralization, and nervous system exhaustion</p><p>27:00 — Alien disclosure and the collective consciousness shift</p><p>32:00 — Discernment as the most important skill for 2026 and beyond</p><p>36:00 — "I wouldn't bet a cent on the future"</p><p>Watch Part 1: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtu.be/4pnS6H0dlc8?si=pjPTyOLyp67XEkzE" target="_blank">https://youtu.be/4pnS6H0dlc8?si=pjPTyOLyp67XEkzE</a></p><p>Trade 2026 political markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>Subscribe: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial" target="_blank">https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial</a></p><p>X: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PredictItPod" target="_blank">https://x.com/PredictItPod</a></p><p>#PredictionMarkets #AgeOfAquarius #Astrology2026</p>no00:18:15AI, Aliens, and the Age of Aquarius with Dr. Laurence Hillman (Part 2)full<![CDATA[Archetypal Astrology and Trump with Dr. Laurence Hillman (Part 1)]]>Can astrology predict political outcomes — or is it something else entirely? Dr. Laurence Hillman, one of the world's leading archetypal astrologers, argues it's neither prediction nor superstition. It's pattern recognition for time itself.

In Part 1, Jacob Studwell talks with Dr. Hillman about:

  • 00:00 Introduction to Archetypal Astrology
  • 08:56 Evolution of Archetypal Astrology
  • 17:08 Understanding Archetypes in Public Figures
  • 24:18 Forecasting and Imagination in Leadership

Trade 2026 political markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

#PredictionMarkets #Astrology2026 #Astrology

]]>8418a684-1e5a-4cf0-99a3-391fb3d3c67eWed, 27 May 2026 17:34:56 GMT<p>Can astrology predict political outcomes — or is it something else entirely? Dr. Laurence Hillman, one of the world's leading archetypal astrologers, argues it's neither prediction nor superstition. It's pattern recognition for time itself. </p><p></p><p>In Part 1, Jacob Studwell talks with Dr. Hillman about:</p><ul><li>00:00 Introduction to Archetypal Astrology</li><li>08:56 Evolution of Archetypal Astrology</li><li>17:08 Understanding Archetypes in Public Figures</li><li>24:18 Forecasting and Imagination in Leadership</li></ul><p></p><p>Trade 2026 political markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a> </p><p>Subscribe: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial" target="_blank">https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial</a> </p><p>X: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PredictItPod" target="_blank">https://x.com/PredictItPod</a></p><p>#PredictionMarkets #Astrology2026 #Astrology</p>no00:28:04Archetypal Astrology and Trump with Dr. Laurence Hillman (Part 1)full<![CDATA[The PredictIt Podcast From Peru!]]>We called Kevin Warsh at 54 votes. It came in 54-45 — the closest Fed chair confirmation in modern history. The contract was trading at 3¢ the day before. If you're not listening, you're leaving money on the table.

In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell (reporting live from Peru) and Garth Juckem cover:

00:00 — PredictIt Pod dispatches from Peru: Lima, Paracas, bird islands

03:30 — Warsh confirmed 54-45: we called it, here's what it means for rates

07:00 — Trump in Beijing with Xi: Art of the Deal or genuine pivot on China?

10:00 — War powers vote: 212-212 tie, Jared Golden's deal, and what happens next

14:30 — Gas tax holiday: inevitable or does a hot stock market kill it?

17:00 — Fed rate hike incoming? How Warsh's first meeting on June 16 changes everything

19:30 — War powers at 11¢ in the House — is this a buy?

22:00 — Switching to Wednesdays after Memorial Day + astrology episode preview

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Real markets, real money, individual position limits that protect market integrity.

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

#PredictionMarkets #KevinWarsh #FedChair

]]>a9f0a9e7-d143-46fb-8288-1886155fae10Mon, 18 May 2026 13:00:00 GMT<p>We called Kevin Warsh at 54 votes. It came in 54-45 — the closest Fed chair confirmation in modern history. The contract was trading at 3¢ the day before. If you're not listening, you're leaving money on the table.</p><p>In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell (reporting live from Peru) and Garth Juckem cover:</p><p>00:00 — PredictIt Pod dispatches from Peru: Lima, Paracas, bird islands</p><p>03:30 — Warsh confirmed 54-45: we called it, here's what it means for rates</p><p>07:00 — Trump in Beijing with Xi: Art of the Deal or genuine pivot on China?</p><p>10:00 — War powers vote: 212-212 tie, Jared Golden's deal, and what happens next</p><p>14:30 — Gas tax holiday: inevitable or does a hot stock market kill it?</p><p>17:00 — Fed rate hike incoming? How Warsh's first meeting on June 16 changes everything</p><p>19:30 — War powers at 11¢ in the House — is this a buy?</p><p>22:00 — Switching to Wednesdays after Memorial Day + astrology episode preview</p><p>Trade these markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Real markets, real money, individual position limits that protect market integrity.</p><p>Subscribe: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial" target="_blank">https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial</a></p><p>X: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PredictItPod" target="_blank">https://x.com/PredictItPod</a></p><p>#PredictionMarkets #KevinWarsh #FedChair</p>no00:21:49The PredictIt Podcast From Peru!full<![CDATA[Virginia Redistricting Struck Down: Who Wins the House Now?]]>The Virginia Supreme Court just struck down the voter-approved redistricting referendum in a 4-3 ruling — blocking a map that would have flipped four House seats. Democrats have fallen from 85¢ to 70¢ to take the House, and traders are repricing in real time.

In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

00:00 — Virginia Supreme Court kills the redistricting referendum: what it means

06:00 — Democrats at 71¢, "192 or fewer" seats contract crashes from 38¢ to 24¢

09:00 — Spanberger vs. Jeffries: institutionalist vs. fighter — which strategy wins?

12:30 — Michigan Senate primary: Abdul El-Sayed (52¢) vs. McMorrow vs. Stevens

18:00 — Why traders are underpricing the establishment candidate Hailey Stevens

21:00 — New York 12: Lasher, Boris, Schlossberg, Conway — who wins Nadler's seat?

28:00 — The "Oreo strategy": progressive inside, kitchen table centrist outside

31:00 — Herschel Walker, ambassadorships, and the best jobs in American politics

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Real markets, real money, individual position limits designed to protect market integrity.

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

#PredictionMarkets #VirginiaRedistricting #2026Midterms

]]>a2f71856-a9d6-47e3-94aa-df3705c1ea54Mon, 11 May 2026 20:18:09 GMT<p>The Virginia Supreme Court just struck down the voter-approved redistricting referendum in a 4-3 ruling — blocking a map that would have flipped four House seats. Democrats have fallen from 85¢ to 70¢ to take the House, and traders are repricing in real time.</p><p>In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:</p><p>00:00 — Virginia Supreme Court kills the redistricting referendum: what it means</p><p>06:00 — Democrats at 71¢, "192 or fewer" seats contract crashes from 38¢ to 24¢</p><p>09:00 — Spanberger vs. Jeffries: institutionalist vs. fighter — which strategy wins?</p><p>12:30 — Michigan Senate primary: Abdul El-Sayed (52¢) vs. McMorrow vs. Stevens</p><p>18:00 — Why traders are underpricing the establishment candidate Hailey Stevens</p><p>21:00 — New York 12: Lasher, Boris, Schlossberg, Conway — who wins Nadler's seat?</p><p>28:00 — The "Oreo strategy": progressive inside, kitchen table centrist outside</p><p>31:00 — Herschel Walker, ambassadorships, and the best jobs in American politics</p><p>Trade these markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Real markets, real money, individual position limits designed to protect market integrity.</p><p>Subscribe: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial" target="_blank">https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial</a></p><p>X: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PredictItPod" target="_blank">https://x.com/PredictItPod</a></p><p>#PredictionMarkets #VirginiaRedistricting #2026Midterms</p>no00:35:15Virginia Redistricting Struck Down: Who Wins the House Now?full<![CDATA[Democrats to Take the House Is On Sale]]>The Supreme Court's Callais decision just reshaped the path to a 2026 House majority. Democrats fell from 87¢ to 79¢ on PredictIt — but the underlying fundamentals (Trump approval, generic ballot, cost-of-living concerns) suggest traders may be overcorrecting.

In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

SCOTUS Callais decision: cracking vs. packing and what's about to change

Democrats at 79¢ to take the House: buying opportunity or trap?

Trump's approval at lowest tracked, gas at $4.30, no policy turn in sight

Iran, Operation Freedom, and why Democrats aren't capitalizing

RFK Jr. at 49¢: who's the next cabinet member out

Kevin Warsh whip count: 52-53 votes most likely, 39¢ on the upside

Jerome Powell stays on: the most political move of his term

Susan Collins flips on Iran War Powers Act — does it move Maine numbers?

The "Lobster Man": progressive momentum vs. an entrenched incumbent

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Real markets, real money, individual position caps that protect market integrity.

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

This podcast reflects the hosts' personal analysis and is not trading advice.

#PredictionMarkets #SCOTUS #Redistricting2026

]]>e4e8cc4f-4976-4d3d-9c2c-e6cd42e1d169Mon, 04 May 2026 21:56:17 GMT<p>The Supreme Court's Callais decision just reshaped the path to a 2026 House majority. Democrats fell from 87¢ to 79¢ on PredictIt — but the underlying fundamentals (Trump approval, generic ballot, cost-of-living concerns) suggest traders may be overcorrecting.</p><p>In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:</p><p>SCOTUS Callais decision: cracking vs. packing and what's about to change</p><p>Democrats at 79¢ to take the House: buying opportunity or trap?</p><p>Trump's approval at lowest tracked, gas at $4.30, no policy turn in sight</p><p>Iran, Operation Freedom, and why Democrats aren't capitalizing</p><p>RFK Jr. at 49¢: who's the next cabinet member out</p><p>Kevin Warsh whip count: 52-53 votes most likely, 39¢ on the upside</p><p>Jerome Powell stays on: the most political move of his term</p><p>Susan Collins flips on Iran War Powers Act — does it move Maine numbers?</p><p>The "Lobster Man": progressive momentum vs. an entrenched incumbent</p><p>Trade these markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Real markets, real money, individual position caps that protect market integrity.</p><p>Subscribe: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial" target="_blank">https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial</a></p><p>X: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PredictItPod" target="_blank">https://x.com/PredictItPod</a></p><p>This podcast reflects the hosts' personal analysis and is not trading advice.</p><p>#PredictionMarkets #SCOTUS #Redistricting2026</p>no00:30:53Democrats to Take the House Is On Salefull<![CDATA[The Case for Prediction Market Caps]]>PredictIt's $3,500 individual position cap is its single biggest differentiator and the recent Polymarket insider trading charge, bouts of political violence, and questions over what place prediction markets place in society proves why caps matter for the integrity of the market.

In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

White House Correspondents Dinner attempted attack: condemning all political violence

Wes Moore on Bill Maher: "I could bet against myself for $4M"

The case for prediction market caps: why $3,500 limits matter

Kevin Warsh Fed chair confirmation: whip count at 53 or 54?

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

This podcast reflects the hosts' personal analysis and is not trading advice.

#PredictionMarkets #PredictIt #FedChair

]]>0c801239-ef4a-4311-b735-d7fa63a80d45Mon, 27 Apr 2026 21:31:28 GMT<p>PredictIt's $3,500 individual position cap is its single biggest differentiator and the recent Polymarket insider trading charge, bouts of political violence, and questions over what place prediction markets place in society proves why caps matter for the integrity of the market.</p><p>In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:</p><p>White House Correspondents Dinner attempted attack: condemning all political violence</p><p>Wes Moore on Bill Maher: "I could bet against myself for $4M"</p><p>The case for prediction market caps: why $3,500 limits matter</p><p>Kevin Warsh Fed chair confirmation: whip count at 53 or 54?</p><p>Trade these markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>Subscribe: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial" target="_blank">https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial</a></p><p>X: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PredictItPod" target="_blank">https://x.com/PredictItPod</a></p><p>This podcast reflects the hosts' personal analysis and is not trading advice.</p><p>#PredictionMarkets #PredictIt #FedChair</p>no00:22:12The Case for Prediction Market Capsfull<![CDATA[Grading Nostradamus and Virginia's Redistricting Vote]]>Virginia's April 21 redistricting referendum could flip up to 4 House seats and reshape the 2026 midterms. We break down where PredictIthave it priced and whether the data should scare traders holding Yes at 85 cents.

In this episode of PredictIt Official, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:

00:00 — The national popular vote compact hits 222 electoral votes

04:30 — Senate 2026 market vs. S&P 500: why traders are pricing in a Democratic Senate

07:30 — Taking an Iranian cargo ship: the Middle East ceasefire that isn't holding

12:00 — Nostradamus predictions for 2026 — grading him four months in

21:30 — Virginia redistricting referendum: 6-10% margin or wider?

25:00 — Kevin Warsh Fed chair confirmation: will DOJ drama kill it?

27:30 — Will Corey Mills leave the House before May?

Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial

X: https://x.com/PredictItPod

Disclosure: Jacob Studwell is Growth Engagement Officer at PredictIt. This podcast reflects the hosts' personal analysis and is not trading advice.

#PredictionMarkets #VirginiaRedistricting #Politics2026

]]>9d5af7b3-3d4c-4db9-972d-a0f7e939f141Mon, 20 Apr 2026 20:29:47 GMT<p>Virginia's April 21 redistricting referendum could flip up to 4 House seats and reshape the 2026 midterms. We break down where PredictIthave it priced and whether the data should scare traders holding Yes at 85 cents.</p><p>In this episode of PredictIt Official, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover:</p><p>00:00 — The national popular vote compact hits 222 electoral votes</p><p>04:30 — Senate 2026 market vs. S&amp;P 500: why traders are pricing in a Democratic Senate</p><p>07:30 — Taking an Iranian cargo ship: the Middle East ceasefire that isn't holding</p><p>12:00 — Nostradamus predictions for 2026 — grading him four months in</p><p>21:30 — Virginia redistricting referendum: 6-10% margin or wider?</p><p>25:00 — Kevin Warsh Fed chair confirmation: will DOJ drama kill it?</p><p>27:30 — Will Corey Mills leave the House before May?</p><p>Trade these markets on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p><p>Subscribe: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial" target="_blank">https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial</a></p><p>X: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PredictItPod" target="_blank">https://x.com/PredictItPod</a></p><p>Disclosure: Jacob Studwell is Growth Engagement Officer at PredictIt. This podcast reflects the hosts' personal analysis and is not trading advice.</p><p>#PredictionMarkets #VirginiaRedistricting #Politics2026</p>no00:28:13Grading Nostradamus and Virginia's Redistricting Votefull<![CDATA[Is Tom Steyer The Next Governor of California?]]>Jacob and Garth cover the potential expulsion of Tony Gonzalez and Eric Swalwell, the California governor's race. We also delve into the Maine Senate race and the potential impact of a major hurricane on the election.
* 00:00 Swalwell's Dropout Fallout
* 11:50 JD's Tough Week
* 19:15 Impact of Hurricane Season
* 24:40 Maine Senate Race Dynamics
Trade now: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

]]>c0bfc8d1-2479-4d59-8356-52b7d4d277a4Mon, 13 Apr 2026 18:50:16 GMT<p>Jacob and Garth cover the potential expulsion of Tony Gonzalez and Eric Swalwell, the California governor's race. We also delve into the Maine Senate race and the potential impact of a major hurricane on the election.<br />* 00:00 Swalwell's Dropout Fallout<br />* 11:50 JD's Tough Week<br />* 19:15 Impact of Hurricane Season<br />* 24:40 Maine Senate Race Dynamics<br />Trade now: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p>no00:30:44Is Tom Steyer The Next Governor of California?full<![CDATA[Both Parties Are Terrified of Independent Voters]]>Chad Peace of the Independent Voter Project joins Jacob to break down why 45% of registered voters are independent — and why both parties are structurally built to ignore them. They dig into California's nonpartisan primary, the Texas open primary fight, why independents aren't moderates, and what all of it means for 2026.

Trade now on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

]]>5626a677-f608-4387-b9d9-8ea252328b0aMon, 06 Apr 2026 17:20:17 GMT<p>Chad Peace of the Independent Voter Project joins Jacob to break down why 45% of registered voters are independent — and why both parties are structurally built to ignore them. They dig into California's nonpartisan primary, the Texas open primary fight, why independents aren't moderates, and what all of it means for 2026.</p><p>Trade now on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p>no00:32:56Both Parties Are Terrified of Independent Votersfull<![CDATA[John Zogby: Democrats Aren't As Far Ahead As You Think]]>Legendary pollster John Zogby joins Jacob to break down his latest generic ballot showing the two parties at a dead heat — directly contradicting polls giving Democrats a clear 2026 advantage. They dig into Trump's approval, public support for the Iran conflict, and what independent voters are thinking ahead of 2026.

Plus: John plays PredictIt's Buy, Sell, Hold weighing in on Pete Buttigieg, Cory Booker, AOC's Senate vs. President decision, and Democratic control of the Senate. Trade now: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

]]>4f4811a5-8fe4-4510-b7bf-e9fc685f3a06Mon, 30 Mar 2026 18:52:31 GMT<p>Legendary pollster John Zogby joins Jacob to break down his latest generic ballot showing the two parties at a dead heat — directly contradicting polls giving Democrats a clear 2026 advantage. They dig into Trump's approval, public support for the Iran conflict, and what independent voters are thinking ahead of 2026.</p><p></p><p>Plus: John plays PredictIt's Buy, Sell, Hold weighing in on Pete Buttigieg, Cory Booker, AOC's Senate vs. President decision, and Democratic control of the Senate. Trade now: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p>no00:31:29John Zogby: Democrats Aren't As Far Ahead As You Thinkfull<![CDATA[Trump's Approval Is Sliding]]>Trump's poll numbers are moving in the wrong direction and this week, Jacob and Garth break down exactly what the latest data is telling us. Also this week:

  • Recent Iran updates and what this may mean for the Republicans in the midterms
  • Independent Senate candidates making noise in Nebraska and Montana — and whether they have a real shot
  • Trump's Truth Social posts about Robert Mueller...

Whether you trade on PredictIt or just want sharp political analysis without the spin, Jacob and Garth give you the data-driven take you won't get anywhere else.

Trade on today's political outcomes at PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

]]>0749b76f-e050-42a8-bedc-55e2c8496065Mon, 23 Mar 2026 17:51:32 GMT<p>Trump's poll numbers are moving in the wrong direction and this week, Jacob and Garth break down exactly what the latest data is telling us. Also this week:</p><ul><li>Recent Iran updates and what this may mean for the Republicans in the midterms</li><li>Independent Senate candidates making noise in Nebraska and Montana — and whether they have a real shot</li><li>Trump's Truth Social posts about Robert Mueller...</li></ul><p>Whether you trade on PredictIt or just want sharp political analysis without the spin, Jacob and Garth give you the data-driven take you won't get anywhere else.</p><p>Trade on today's political outcomes at PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p>no00:27:10Trump's Approval Is Slidingfull<![CDATA[Who Will Be The Next Senator From Illinois?]]>Jacob and Garth recap Garth's recent trip, where we're at in the war in Iran and how that's affecting the House, Senate, and any individual races during primary season. The team also dives deep into new Ohio Governor and Senate polling and then it's last call for the Democratic Senate Primary race to name a Dick Durbin successor!

Trade Now on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

]]>5076b336-e259-4f9c-aac6-659541b620d0Mon, 16 Mar 2026 19:04:07 GMT<p>Jacob and Garth recap Garth's recent trip, where we're at in the war in Iran and how that's affecting the House, Senate, and any individual races during primary season. The team also dives deep into new Ohio Governor and Senate polling and then it's last call for the Democratic Senate Primary race to name a Dick Durbin successor!</p><p>Trade Now on PredictIt: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p>no00:29:32Who Will Be The Next Senator From Illinois?full<![CDATA[Gas Rising, Noem Falling]]>Garth, Ethan, and Jacob give a comprehensive recap of the Noem firing, how to keep her out of South Dakota through March, Texas recaps including grading traders performances on both sides of the aisle, and an update to the Iran War timeline put everything in play for the Democrats come November: Trade Now - https://bit.ly/predictit2026

]]>8f560f5c-8660-439c-bf29-add230d24797Mon, 09 Mar 2026 14:29:33 GMT<p>Garth, Ethan, and Jacob give a comprehensive recap of the Noem firing, how to keep her out of South Dakota through March, Texas recaps including grading traders performances on both sides of the aisle, and an update to the Iran War timeline put everything in play for the Democrats come November: Trade Now - <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p>no00:31:25Gas Rising, Noem Fallingfull<![CDATA[Iran Will Have Legs]]>Garth and Jacob discuss all the different ways the strikes and ongoing conflict in Iran could affect Trump's approval ratings, gas prices, midterms turnout, Congress War Powers resolutions, and also the Texas Primaries tomorrow!

]]>c0db9a4d-6cd6-4519-9b84-57fd8ae85e26Mon, 02 Mar 2026 19:23:10 GMT<p>Garth and Jacob discuss all the different ways the strikes and ongoing conflict in Iran could affect Trump's approval ratings, gas prices, midterms turnout, Congress War Powers resolutions, and also the Texas Primaries tomorrow!</p>no00:35:35Iran Will Have Legsfull<![CDATA[SCOTUS Tariff Ruling Fallout]]>Jacob and Garth discuss the SCOTUS tariff ruling from Friday, what this means for the Presidency and Alito's expected retirement, Texas Early voting reporting, Trade Talk on the State of the Union and Noem's next job? We end with a new segment on the California Governor's Race: Campaign, Elect, Sign, Reject, Recall (our spin on FMK) - Trade now with us: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

]]>98b9c245-827d-4a79-adc2-6fd6a5036f41Mon, 23 Feb 2026 20:00:23 GMT<p>Jacob and Garth discuss the SCOTUS tariff ruling from Friday, what this means for the Presidency and Alito's expected retirement, Texas Early voting reporting, Trade Talk on the State of the Union and Noem's next job? We end with a new segment on the California Governor's Race: Campaign, Elect, Sign, Reject, Recall (our spin on FMK) - Trade now with us: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p>no00:36:26SCOTUS Tariff Ruling Falloutfull<![CDATA[How A PredictIt Market Gets Made]]>Ethan Rosen from PredictIt's Markets team joins the pod to discuss the process behind creating markets, writing rules, limiting settlement ambiguity and his thoughts on the SAVE Act headlines. We also discuss the most likely to flip Senate races, Texas' Primaries in 3 weeks and Ethan's best buys (and sells).

Trade Now - https://bit.ly/predictit2026

]]>a4c0791d-1567-4c73-868f-0857d2dd8538Mon, 16 Feb 2026 14:00:00 GMT<p>Ethan Rosen from PredictIt's Markets team joins the pod to discuss the process behind creating markets, writing rules, limiting settlement ambiguity and his thoughts on the SAVE Act headlines. We also discuss the most likely to flip Senate races, Texas' Primaries in 3 weeks and Ethan's best buys (and sells).</p><p></p><p>Trade Now - <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p>no00:29:53How A PredictIt Market Gets Madefull<![CDATA[Endorsements Aren't What They Used To Be]]>Garth and Jacob are back to discuss another impending government shutdown, Garth's $1500 loss, new Texas polling, and maybe the Superbowl? But really just Trump's tweet about the halftime show.

https://bit.ly/predictit2026

]]>7557d2d5-8f13-4977-a484-7b51ae6aaf29Mon, 09 Feb 2026 20:00:25 GMT<p>Garth and Jacob are back to discuss another impending government shutdown, Garth's $1500 loss, new Texas polling, and maybe the Superbowl? But really just Trump's tweet about the halftime show.</p><p></p><p><a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p>no00:35:08Endorsements Aren't What They Used To Befull<![CDATA[Bradley Tusk Knows New York]]>Bradley Tusk joins Jacob for an interview ranging from his pitch for Mobile Voting to advice for AOC, predicting NY House races, and whether or not Gavin Newsom is the eventual Democratic Nominee in 2028.

Trade Bradley's picks here: https://bit.ly/predictit2026

]]>c9eb63a1-ac0f-4f38-9306-3fc6321ce353Mon, 02 Feb 2026 14:44:50 GMT<p>Bradley Tusk joins Jacob for an interview ranging from his pitch for Mobile Voting to advice for AOC, predicting NY House races, and whether or not Gavin Newsom is the eventual Democratic Nominee in 2028.</p><p></p><p>Trade Bradley's picks here: <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2026" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2026</a></p>no00:29:10Bradley Tusk Knows New Yorkfull<![CDATA[Anthony Vinci Predicts It All]]>Jacob interviews Anthony Vinci, author of 'The Fourth Intelligence Revolution.' They discuss the implications of AI in intelligence, the chaos of information in the digital age, parenting in a world of misinformation, and the future of social media regulations. Vinci shares insights on his AI model, Vico, and its applications in predictive markets and political forecasting and makes a bunch of predictions of his own.

]]>f6e26d60-2dd1-4188-9156-f88bf2843d80Mon, 26 Jan 2026 12:45:00 GMT<p>Jacob interviews Anthony Vinci, author of 'The Fourth Intelligence Revolution.' They discuss the implications of AI in intelligence, the chaos of information in the digital age, parenting in a world of misinformation, and the future of social media regulations. Vinci shares insights on his AI model, Vico, and its applications in predictive markets and political forecasting and makes a bunch of predictions of his own.</p>no00:26:08Anthony Vinci Predicts It Allfull<![CDATA[Guide to the March Primaries]]>Jacob and Garth provide a guide to the March Primaries reviewing the Texas Senate races, most interesting House races, and the Illinois Democratic Primary for Dick Durbin's seat in the Senate.

]]>f23e16d8-e832-43e6-b4ae-b52e72c06863Mon, 19 Jan 2026 14:00:00 GMT<p>Jacob and Garth provide a guide to the March Primaries reviewing the Texas Senate races, most interesting House races, and the Illinois Democratic Primary for Dick Durbin's seat in the Senate. </p>no00:29:43Guide to the March Primariesfull<![CDATA[Will Trump Make It To Greenland?]]>Jacob and Garth discuss Jacob's trade on the Senate War Powers Resolution last week, Steve Bannon potential run in 2028, the DOJ's recent action with the Fed, and the main topic today: Will Trump leave office early for any reason?

]]>2a1e5a6b-f5fb-4efb-8b92-245761dbf63eMon, 12 Jan 2026 18:34:56 GMT<p>Jacob and Garth discuss Jacob's trade on the Senate War Powers Resolution last week, Steve Bannon potential run in 2028, the DOJ's recent action with the Fed, and the main topic today: Will Trump leave office early for any reason?</p>no00:26:40Will Trump Make It To Greenland?full<![CDATA[What are Prediction Markets?]]>Jacob and Garth review the basics on www.predictit.org:

  • What are Prediction Markets?
  • How do you use PredictIt?
  • What moves markets?

They also kickoff their 2025 trading challenge with a bang!

]]>ef829426-6238-4acd-9790-9d229b0c78e2Mon, 05 Jan 2026 18:05:37 GMT<p>Jacob and Garth review the basics on <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="http://www.predictit.org" target="_blank">www.predictit.org</a>:</p><p></p><ul><li>What are Prediction Markets?</li><li>How do you use PredictIt?</li><li>What moves markets?</li></ul><p></p><p>They also kickoff their 2025 trading challenge with a bang!</p>no00:29:27What are Prediction Markets?full<![CDATA[2028 is Starting Early]]>Jacob rounds up the news solo this week from Venezuela to the New York Gubernatorial Race and over to the fallout from TPUSA's America fest and the extremely early 2028 posturing on all sides.

]]>47e23698-6726-46f6-b86b-392849c79d4eMon, 22 Dec 2025 16:36:01 GMT<p>Jacob rounds up the news solo this week from Venezuela to the New York Gubernatorial Race and over to the fallout from TPUSA's America fest and the extremely early 2028 posturing on all sides.</p>no00:11:202028 is Starting Earlyfull<![CDATA[2026 Texas Senate Primary]]>Garth and Jacob get eclectic in this episode from Trump's proposed rescheduling of marijuana to the Maine Senate Primary to Candace Owens, Erika Kirk, and Turning Point USA all the way to Texas' Senate Primaries on both the Democratic and Republican sides - tune in for the best look at the Prediction Markets! https://bit.ly/predictit2025

]]>c898ad47-211a-4b87-839e-30627b6b7402Mon, 15 Dec 2025 18:49:54 GMT<p>Garth and Jacob get eclectic in this episode from Trump's proposed rescheduling of marijuana to the Maine Senate Primary to Candace Owens, Erika Kirk, and Turning Point USA all the way to Texas' Senate Primaries on both the Democratic and Republican sides - tune in for the best look at the Prediction Markets! <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://bit.ly/predictit2025" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/predictit2025</a></p>no00:29:502026 Texas Senate Primaryfull<![CDATA[Nostradamus and JD Vance]]>Jacob and Garth discuss what Nostradamus has on tap for us in 2026 and make some predictions of their own. They also talk redistricting, Texas races, and the current odds of JD Vance to become the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2028.

]]>1c1acda5-345f-4a7a-88b8-b22cd985509aMon, 08 Dec 2025 17:47:32 GMT<p>Jacob and Garth discuss what Nostradamus has on tap for us in 2026 and make some predictions of their own. They also talk redistricting, Texas races, and the current odds of JD Vance to become the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2028.</p>no00:21:53Nostradamus and JD Vancefull<![CDATA[TN-07 Special Election]]>Jacob and Garth discuss Andy Beshear's endorsement of Janet Mills, Kash Patel and Pete Hegseth's likelihood to leave their positions, Bowser not running for DC Mayor again, potential for ANOTHER government shutdown in February and a deep dive on the Tennessee 7th District's Special Election.

]]>e92b9eb5-883a-424c-84e2-c35904875e8bMon, 01 Dec 2025 17:38:30 GMT<p>Jacob and Garth discuss Andy Beshear's endorsement of Janet Mills, Kash Patel and Pete Hegseth's likelihood to leave their positions, Bowser not running for DC Mayor again, potential for ANOTHER government shutdown in February and a deep dive on the Tennessee 7th District's Special Election.</p>no00:18:33TN-07 Special Electionfull<![CDATA[2028 Democratic Nominee Draft]]>Victoria Worley joins Jacob and Garth to discuss redistricting effects across the country and then sticks around for a way-too-early draft of 2028 Democratic Nominees...and the draft gets wonky quick!

]]>92ad2fd5-d283-4a1f-96b6-e09b7da1c314Mon, 24 Nov 2025 19:28:31 GMT<p>Victoria Worley joins Jacob and Garth to discuss redistricting effects across the country and then sticks around for a way-too-early draft of 2028 Democratic Nominees...and the draft gets wonky quick!</p>no00:37:382028 Democratic Nominee Draftfull<![CDATA[Trump's Epstein Flip]]>Jacob and Garth discuss Trump's Epstein Files vote flip, the Cabinet's latest news, SCOTUS Tarriff market, the economy's affect on 2026 midterm markets and the fallout from Chile's first round Presidential Election

]]>65054416-9a6b-4f02-a1d7-ff10ef4dbf92Mon, 17 Nov 2025 17:42:14 GMT<p>Jacob and Garth discuss Trump's Epstein Files vote flip, the Cabinet's latest news, SCOTUS Tarriff market, the economy's affect on 2026 midterm markets and the fallout from Chile's first round Presidential Election</p>no00:22:37Trump's Epstein Flipfull<![CDATA[PredictIt Weekly Markets Podcast: 11/10/2025]]>Jacob and Garth discuss the Election Day 2025 fallout, Prediction Markets in context, and the Government Shutdown featuring the following markets:

  • Which party will win the House in the 2026 election?
  • When will Trump sign a bill to end the shutdown?
  • Will the House pass a bill or resolution by Nov. 21 asking for Epstein files?
  • Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?
]]>dbe197ff-b045-43f8-9223-7897a89cdb40Mon, 10 Nov 2025 18:12:58 GMT<p>Jacob and Garth discuss the Election Day 2025 fallout, Prediction Markets in context, and the Government Shutdown featuring the following markets: </p><ul><li><b>Which party will win the House in the 2026 election?</b></li><li><b>When will Trump sign a bill to end the shutdown?</b></li><li><b>Will the House pass a bill or resolution by Nov. 21 asking for Epstein files?</b></li><li><b>Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?</b></li></ul>no00:23:24PredictIt Weekly Markets Podcast: 11/10/2025full